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Articles tagged as "bonds"

Insights categories - Local investing

The key lesson from 2023: Uncertainty is ever-present

By Rory Kutisker-Jacobson on 29 Jan 2024

Reading time: 6 mins

Rory Kutisker-Jacobson takes stock of the key local and global market events of 2023 and highlights some of the themes that are likely to shape the year ahea...

Insights categories - Investment insights

How to be a little less wrong – with James Aitken

By Duncan Artus on 16 Nov 2023

Listening time: 56 mins

When it comes to investing, marginal improvements can make a significant difference to investment returns over time. In conversation with Allan Gray’s chief...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

The inflation conversation is far from over

By Thalia Petousis on 23 Oct 2023

Reading time: 7 mins

If the history of debt markets repeats itself, we are now in year three of a new multi-decade bear market for bonds.

Insights categories - Markets and economy

The problem with a 12% yield

By Thalia Petousis on 04 Oct 2023

Reading time: 4 mins

The notion of a government bond trading at a 12% yield can sound very appealing, but it poses several issues.

Insights categories - Offshore investing

From Johannesburg to Japan: How to resist the magnetism of the magnificent seven

By Tamryn Lamb on 28 Sep 2023

Listening time: 64 mins

In conversation with Tamryn Lamb, Allan Gray portfolio manager Tim Acker and Graeme Forster, portfolio manager at our offshore partner, Orbis, explain why we...

Insights categories - Local investing

Local investment update: Balancing caution and optimism

By Tim Acker on 26 Sep 2023

Reading time: 7 mins

In recent years, South Africa’s numerous, well-known economic challenges have fuelled declining investor sentiment and led many to doubt the local market’s...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

The 2023 Budget: A crisis of credibility in the outer years of the forecast

By Thalia Petousis on 13 Feb 2023

Reading time: 5 mins

Thalia Petousis, portfolio manager at Allan Gray, shares her views on the challenges of putting together a credible national budget

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Massive market moves: How will they shape the years ahead?

By Tamryn Lamb on 09 Feb 2023

Listening time: 54 Mins

In the latest episode of The Allan Gray Podcast, chief investment officer, Duncan Artus, joins Tamryn Lamb, head of Retail, to unpack why the year was a...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Global growth prospects continue to deteriorate

By Sandy McGregor on 02 Nov 2022

Reading time: 3 mins

During the past quarter inflation has remained elevated. In the US the latest print for August was 8.3%. In Europe it was 10.0% in September. Even though in...

Insights categories - Offshore investing

Podcast: Do old investment truths still hold in the current global environment?

By Rory Kutisker-Jacobson on 30 Sep 2022

Listening time: 42 mins

In the latest episode of The Allan Gray Podcast, hosted by Allan Gray portfolio manager Rory Kutisker-Jacobson, Dan Brocklebank, head of Orbis UK, reflects o...

Insights categories - Local investing

Local investment update: Always pay the right price

By Duncan Artus and Jacques Plaut on 03 Jun 2022

Viewing time: 26 min

Jacques Plaut and Duncan Artus discuss the positioning of our equity and multi-asset funds given the pre-existing trends exacerbated by the war in Ukraine....

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Food price inflation: Are we watching “That ‘70s Show”?

By Thalia Petousis on 12 May 2022

Reading time: 7 mins

Unaffordable food and fuel prices are raising developed market consumer inflation to multi-decade highs, while the Federal Reserve recently announced a...

Insights categories - Investment insights

How to invest to be crisis ready

By Stephan Bernard on 01 Apr 2022

Reading time: 6 mins

COVID-19 has driven home an important life lesson: Expect (and plan for) the unexpected. When it comes to your finances, this means balancing the need to hav...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

The long road to debt reform: SA’s Budget underwhelms bond investors

By Thalia Petousis on 24 Feb 2022

Reading time: 3 mins

Despite the positivity priced into the Budget from the much-publicised tax revenue overruns, the outcome has positively underwhelmed South African bond...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

The trouble with municipalities

By Londa Nxumalo on 27 Jan 2022

Reading time: 7 mins

The extensive infrastructure needs of South African municipalities provide an opportunity for long-term bond investors – such as retirement funds – to help...

Insights categories - Local investing

Q&A with Allan Gray portfolio managers

By Duncan Artus on 17 Nov 2021

Viewing time: 1 min

At a recent Allan Gray local investment update, chief investment officer, Duncan Artus, facilitated a robust discussion with portfolio managers, Thalia...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Africa market bond exposure: Understanding the risks and opportunities

By Londa Nxumalo on 11 Oct 2021

Reading time: 11 mins

Is it worth taking on a bit more risk to achieve potential return? Londa Nxumalo explains the relationship between risk and return in the fixed income contex...

Insights categories - Offshore investing

Orbis: Our perspective on developed market bond yields

By Mark Dunley-Owen on 11 Oct 2021

Reading time: 4 mins

Bonds are typically included in an investment portfolio to provide diversification and deliver yield. Developed market bonds are currently offering much lowe...

Insights categories - Local investing

How we approach fixed interest

By Thalia Petousis on 26 Jul 2021

Reading time: 10 mins

Aside from our dedicated local fixed interest funds, being the Allan Gray Money Market Fund and the Allan Gray Bond Fund, we also invest in fixed interest...

Insights categories - Offshore investing

Orbis: The great imbalance

By Ashley Lynn on 13 Apr 2021

Viewing time: 1 min

At its heart investing is a balancing act. Balancing how much you stand to gain if things go well, with how much you could lose if things don't work out. Now...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

COVID-19 cracked the crystal ball

By Tamryn Lamb on 22 Jun 2020

Reading time: 9 mins

Investors and their advisers continue to grapple with the question of what life, and indeed the world economy, will look like in the next one to three years....

Insights categories - Investment insights

Part 4: How to invest to be crisis ready

By Stephan Bernard on 09 Jun 2020

Reading time: 7 mins

COVID-19 has driven home an important life lesson: Expect (and plan for) the unexpected. When it comes to your finances, this means balancing the need to hav...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

COVID-19: Portfolio, economic and investment update

By Duncan Artus on 01 Jun 2020

Reading time: 1 min

During February and March, we were active in both the local equity and fixed income markets. This activity reduced during April and May, as we believed the...

Insights categories - Local investing

Do bonds offer opportunity in a post COVID-19 world?

By Londa Nxumalo on 28 May 2020

Reading time: 6 mins

As investors we must think about what the world will look like when the pandemic has passed, and what asset classes offer opportunity. Presenting via Zoom...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Q&A: Understanding the economic context in which we must invest

By Grant Pitt on 27 May 2020

Reading time: 1 min

As investors, we must understand the economic consequences of COVID-19 and the impact on different asset classes. Grant Pitt, joint head of Institutional...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

The monetary and fiscal response to the COVID-19 crisis

By Sandy McGregor on 27 May 2020

Reading time: 5 mins

The Coronavirus pandemic has caused a massive disruption of global economic activity without peacetime precedent. In a presentation via Zoom webinar, Sandy...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Q&A with Allan Gray and Orbis: Investing beyond COVID-19

By Tamryn Lamb on 26 May 2020

Reading time: 1 min

While financial market volatility as a result of COVID-19 is expected to continue over the short term, the investment teams at Allan Gray and Orbis are focus...

Insights categories - Local investing

Perspectives and portfolio positioning amid COVID-19

By Andrew Lapping on 08 May 2020

Reading time: 6 mins

The world as we know it has changed dramatically over the last two months, with the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown strategies causing extreme volatility on t...

Insights categories - Local investing

Positioning our portfolios for growth beyond COVID-19

By Andrew Lapping on 23 Apr 2020

Reading time: 12 mins

The speed at which the financial market swings from despair to elation is astounding. The past few months have seen no shortage of mood swings as investors...

Insights categories - Local investing

The end of the free lunch

By Mark Dunley-Owen on 17 Apr 2020

Reading time: 4 mins

There is no such thing as a free lunch. Yet recent times have provided South African savers with something close to this, as risk-free returns from money...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

COVID-19: Looking to history to understand potential outcomes

By Stephan Bernard on 09 Apr 2020

Reading time: 7 mins

With much of the world in lockdown, one wonders whether it is appropriate to draw on past analogies in thinking about what lies ahead. However, every prior...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

COVID-19: Q&A with Allan Gray portfolio managers

By Tamryn Lamb on 08 Apr 2020

Viewing time: 6 mins

With many countries in lockdown, uncertainty prevails. Against this backdrop, many clients are asking for our views on the economic impact, an update on our...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Impact of Moody's downgrade

By Sandy McGregor on 30 Mar 2020

Reading time: 2 mins

As a consequence of the decision by Moody’s to lower South Africa’s credit rating from Ba1 to Baa3, all three leading rating agencies now rate South African...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

COVID-19: Evaluating market risk versus opportunity

By Duncan Artus on 25 Mar 2020

Viewing time: 1 min

We have managed our portfolios through a range of different crises since 1974. Over the last 20 years, the dotcom collapse in 2001/02, the global financial...

Insights categories - Investment insights

The money bubble

By Claire Gallagher on 12 Feb 2020

Viewing time: 1 min

There’s something magical about bubbles. Formed of water, soap and a breath of air they seem incredible. In financial markets, bubbles are a lot less revered...

Insights categories - Local investing

Should you invest in bonds?

By Londa Nxumalo on 29 Jan 2020

Reading time: 7 mins

The recent performance of South African bonds – which have outperformed cash and equities over three and five years – has prompted investors to ask whether...

Insights categories - Personal investing

Beware of recency bias when making investment decisions

By Beatri Faul on 29 Jan 2020

Reading time: 9 mins

Over the past year, we have seen local investments streaming towards bonds and cash – the top-performing asset classes for most of 2019. Are investors chasin...

Insights categories - Local investing

How to invest in challenging times

By Ruan Stander on 22 Jan 2020

Reading time: 4 mins

A braai over the weekend inevitably reminds us of the significant challenges our country faces – there is lots of negative news to talk about.

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Demystifying Africa’s debt markets

By Nick Ndiritu on 15 Feb 2018

Reading time: 4 mins

Investors seeking diversification outside of South Africa can easily overlook the investment opportunities in other African markets. It is tempting to start ...

Insights categories - Local investing

Stable Fund update: Justifying a higher net equity weighting in challenging times

By Leonard Krüger on 03 Nov 2017

Reading time: 2 mins

Local inflation and interest rates have peaked in the current cycle and South Africa had its first interest rate cut in five years during the quarter. While...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Should you have bonds in your portfolio?

By Mark Dunley-Owen on 31 Mar 2017

Reading time: 9 mins

Bonds are boring, or so the saying goes. A better interpretation is that bond returns are less volatile than equity returns, most of the time...

Insights categories - Offshore investing

Global perspective: Do value shares deserve to be this cheap?

By Alec Cutler on 31 Dec 2016

Reading time: 7 mins

The Orbis Global Balanced Fund aims to balance capital appreciation and income generation with the associated risk of its investments. These objectives...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

Investing in Africa’s debt markets

By Nick Ndiritu on 30 Sep 2016

Reading time: 8 mins

Patient capital dedicated to Africa’s capital markets is scarce, especially during economic or political downturns. Nick Ndiritu explains how long-term...

Insights categories - Offshore investing

XPO Logistics: Diversification through owning both shares and bonds

By Ashley Lynn and Matt Adams on 30 Jun 2016

Reading time: 7 mins

Forming contrarian views about the intrinsic value of companies is the core of what we do. In the Orbis Global Balanced Fund, this fundamental company resear...

Insights categories - Offshore investing

A tale of two crises

By Tamryn Lamb on 24 Aug 2015

Reading time: 8 mins

Greece and China have dominated financial headlines since March. With fear running high, we try to remain focused on the relationship between the price and...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

What do low global bond yields mean for South African investors?

By Ian Liddle on 28 Jan 2015

Reading time: 5 mins

Adapted from the Chief Investment Officer’s comments, which will appear in the Allan Gray Unit Trust Annual Report, 2014. More than half of global government...

Insights categories - Offshore investing

Do not confuse stability with safety

By Ben Preston on 30 Jun 2013

Reading time: 8 mins

According to Ben Preston, from our offshore partner Orbis, Orbis and Allan Gray's strict adherence to our bottom-up research process keeps us focused on...

Insights categories - Markets and economy

The long-term outlook for the South African bond market

By Andrew Lapping on 31 Mar 2011

Reading time: 9 mins

As a bond investor you need to ask yourself two questions: are your inflation expectations reasonable, and will the potential real return be sufficient? Andr...

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